KEEDU ENCHI MELU ENCHU

" Dealing with uncertainties of Life using prospective hindsight "

Research conducted in 1989 by Deborah J. Mitchell, of the Wharton School; Jay Russo, of Cornell; and Nancy Pennington, of the University of Colorado, found that  prospective hindsight—imagining that an event has already occurred—increases the ability to correctly identify reasons for future outcomes by 30%. We have used prospective hindsight to devise a method called a premortem, which helps project teams identify risks at the outset.

A premortem is the hypothetical opposite of a postmortem. A postmortem in a medical setting allows health professionals and the family to learn what caused a patient’s death. Everyone benefits except, of course, the patient. A premortem in a business setting comes at the beginning of a project rather than the end, so that the project can be improved rather than autopsied. Unlike a typical critiquing session, in which project team members are asked what might go wrong, the premortem operates on the assumption that the “patient” has died, and so asks what did go wrong. The team members’ task is to generate plausible reasons for the project’s failure.

A typical premortem begins after the team has been briefed on the plan. The leader starts the exercise by informing everyone that the project has failed spectacularly. Over the next few minutes those in the room independently write down every reason they can think of for the failure—especially the kinds of things they ordinarily wouldn’t mention as potential problems, for fear of being impolitic.

Next the leader asks each team member, starting with the project manager, to read one reason from his or her list; everyone states a different reason until all have been recorded. After the session is over, the project manager reviews the list, looking for ways to strengthen the plan.

Courtesy -https://hbr.org/2007/09/performing-a-project-premortem                                       
A version of this article appeared in the September 2007 issue of Harvard Business Review 

P.S : 

Prepare For the Worst, Hope For the Best
 
You should know dealing things,If not , you may get stressed...If you get stressed bloody...your zona fasciculata of the adrenal cortex releases cortisol hormone which is your greatest enemy 😄😄😄
 
This elevated cortisol in your body interfere with your abilities of learning and memory, Rational Logical Thinking,it lowers your immune function,bone density, increases weight gain, blood pressure, cholesterol, heart disease etc etc etc


Let any enemy attack you from outside but Never FROM INSIDE